Scouting Report
Oskar Sundqvist holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sundqvist on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.7% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 73.0%
Defensive zone
Sundqvist 74.7%
Neutral zone
Zary 50.9%
Result
Oskar Sundqvist favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Zary
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Zary
Sundqvist
Last 7: Zary 3-4 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
3
Zary
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (425)
44.2% (2,825)
-3.7%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
51.0% (98)
-14.8%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Zary is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Zary shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,350).
Home / Away
Zary
Sundqvist
Home
40.6% (283)
44.1% (1,580)
Away
39.0% (200)
44.1% (1,714)
By Period
Zary
Sundqvist
P1
39.3%
42.7%
P2
36.5%
45.6%
P3
44.7%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
34.3%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
40.0%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Connor Zary |