Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs McLeod 49.5% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 75.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.8%
Neutral zone
Zary 52.6%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Zary
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Zary
McLeod
Last 10: Zary 4-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Zary
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Zary
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
50.4% (3,376)
-8.6%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
50.7% (296)
-14.5%
On power play, McLeod has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Zary
McLeod
Home
41.3% (293)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
41.0% (212)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Zary
McLeod
P1
40.4%
50.8%
P2
38.6%
48.0%
P3
45.2%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
34.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 03:26 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Zary |