Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Geekie wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.5% vs Haula 52.3% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 62.3%
Defensive zone
Geekie 57.9%
Neutral zone
Geekie 59.6%
Result
Conor Geekie favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Geekie
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Geekie
Haula
Last 8: Geekie 3-5 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
3
Geekie
Haula
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
1
Geekie
Haula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Geekie
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (213)
52.8% (7,726)
-10.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
57.3% (607)
-24.0%
On power play, Haula has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Geekie is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Geekie shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Home / Away
Geekie
Haula
Home
38.7% (106)
53.4% (4,520)
Away
45.1% (113)
51.3% (4,611)
By Period
Geekie
Haula
P1
41.1%
53.2%
P2
44.4%
51.4%
P3
39.7%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Defensive | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:59 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Erik Haula |