Scouting Report
Justin Sourdif holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Geekie wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.5% vs Sourdif 45.6% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Geekie 56.6%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 59.3%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 50.2%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Geekie
Sourdif
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (213)
44.3% (585)
-2.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
50.0% (24)
-16.7%
On power play, Sourdif has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Geekie is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Geekie shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Geekie
Sourdif
Home
38.7% (106)
43.6% (321)
Away
45.1% (113)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Geekie
Sourdif
P1
41.1%
41.9%
P2
44.4%
44.3%
P3
39.7%
47.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
43.5%
42.0%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%