Scouting Report
Conor Geekie holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 44.7% vs Kelly 41.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 75.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 59.6%
Result
Conor Geekie favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Geekie
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Geekie
Kelly
Last 6: Geekie 3-3 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
2
Geekie
Kelly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Geekie
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Kelly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (187)
41.6% (722)
+0.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
0.0% (3)
+33.3%
On power play, Geekie has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Geekie is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Geekie shoots left. Kelly is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (601).
Home / Away
Geekie
Kelly
Home
38.0% (100)
42.2% (457)
Away
46.2% (93)
38.6% (438)
By Period
Geekie
Kelly
P1
41.5%
41.5%
P2
42.4%
44.9%
P3
41.0%
35.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▲
42.0%
42.0%
Kelly
22.0%▼
37.0%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:41 | Offensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Conor Geekie |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Conor Geekie |