Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Perry wins 29.3% vs right-shot opponents — Mercer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perry 37.2% vs Mercer 39.9% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
Perry 55.7%
Defensive zone
Mercer 57.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Perry
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perry
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
31.0% (197)
39.1% (1,412)
-8.1%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
41.1% (90)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
39.4% (33)
41.3% (46)
-1.9%
On even strength, Mercer has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Perry is 29.3% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Perry shoots right. Mercer is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Perry
Mercer
Home
31.5% (130)
40.1% (756)
Away
33.3% (138)
38.5% (792)
By Period
Perry
Mercer
P1
34.3%
38.2%
P2
30.2%
39.2%
P3
33.3%
41.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
26.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perry
34.0%▲
29.5%
32.5%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%