Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perry 43.8% vs Mercer 41.9% (-15.9%)
Offensive zone
Perry 53.4%
Defensive zone
Mercer 63.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 53.0%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Perry
Mercer
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perry
Mercer
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (21)
38.8% (263)
-10.2%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
35.3% (17)
-24.2%
On power play, Mercer has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mercer shoots right. Perry is 12.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Perry shoots right. Mercer is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Perry
Mercer
Home
17.6% (17)
35.2% (145)
Away
30.8% (13)
43.2% (146)
By Period
Perry
Mercer
P1
16.7%
32.7%
P2
37.5%
42.7%
P3
20.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
0.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perry
34.0%▲
29.5%
23.3%
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%