Scouting Report
Cory Emmerton holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Emmerton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 47.8% vs Stepan 46.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 57.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 51.1%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 57.3%
Result
Cory Emmerton favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Emmerton
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Emmerton
Stepan
Last 6: Emmerton 4-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Emmerton
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
1
0
Emmerton
Stepan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (764)
46.5% (10,204)
+0.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
48.8% (1,593)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (59)
44.2% (1,368)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Emmerton is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Emmerton shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Stepan
Home
47.2% (453)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
47.8% (381)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Emmerton
Stepan
P1
45.4%
47.5%
P2
48.5%
45.6%
P3
48.9%
46.8%
Final 5 min
42.7%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 01:20 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |