Scouting Report
Craig Adams holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Kelly 41.7% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Adams 51.5%
Defensive zone
Adams 50.1%
Neutral zone
Adams 51.5%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Adams
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
42.0% (758)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
36.8% (174)
+2.3%
On power play, Adams has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Kelly is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Adams
Kelly
Home
42.0% (488)
42.4% (476)
Away
45.8% (546)
39.2% (459)
By Period
Adams
Kelly
P1
46.5%
42.3%
P2
40.5%
44.7%
P3
45.5%
35.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%