Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 44.5% vs Varone 47.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adams 51.6%
Defensive zone
Adams 73.7%
Neutral zone
Adams 58.9%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Adams
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Adams
Varone
Last 8: Adams 2-6 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
3
Adams
Varone
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
1
3
Adams
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (632)
47.5% (575)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (386)
50.0% (2)
-10.9%
On power play, Adams has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Adams is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (704).
Adams shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Adams
Varone
Home
42.0% (488)
48.0% (221)
Away
45.8% (546)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Adams
Varone
P1
46.5%
50.0%
P2
40.5%
42.7%
P3
45.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.0%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Phil Varone |