Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.5% vs 39.8%). Smith wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Coronato 42.2% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Smith 54.6%
Defensive zone
Coronato 50.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.6%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Smith
Coronato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
38.2% (262)
+2.6%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
47.1% (70)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
0.0% (2)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Smith is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (311).
Smith shoots right. Coronato is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Smith
Coronato
Home
42.3% (556)
39.8% (176)
Away
39.1% (675)
39.9% (158)
By Period
Smith
Coronato
P1
39.0%
41.9%
P2
42.1%
37.6%
P3
40.2%
38.5%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
39.8%