Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Handzus 51.4% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 92.6%
Defensive zone
Handzus 70.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 78.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Smith
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Smith
Handzus
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Handzus
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
4
Smith
Handzus
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
3
Smith
Handzus
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
51.5% (2,438)
-10.7%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
58.0% (286)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
47.3% (471)
-2.9%
On power play, Handzus has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Handzus is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,055).
Home / Away
Smith
Handzus
Home
42.3% (556)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
39.1% (675)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Smith
Handzus
P1
39.0%
52.5%
P2
42.1%
53.7%
P3
40.2%
48.4%
OT
75.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
40.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2013 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 2, 2013 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Feb 2, 2013 | 1 | 12:28 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |