Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Donato 44.7% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Smith 67.6%
Defensive zone
Donato 71.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.7%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Smith
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
44.0% (1,218)
-3.2%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
46.0% (248)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
41.7% (12)
+2.7%
On power play, Donato has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Donato is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (569).
Home / Away
Smith
Donato
Home
42.3% (556)
47.2% (743)
Away
39.1% (675)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Smith
Donato
P1
39.0%
43.8%
P2
42.1%
44.9%
P3
40.2%
43.7%
OT
75.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%