Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 47.2% vs Donato 45.4% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
Donato 54.8%
Defensive zone
Donato 67.7%
Neutral zone
Donato 56.2%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Smith
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
29.4% (17)
43.5% (400)
-14.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
48.7% (119)
+1.3%
On even strength, Donato has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Smith is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Smith shoots right. Donato is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Smith
Donato
Home
44.4% (9)
50.2% (279)
Away
28.6% (14)
38.2% (246)
By Period
Smith
Donato
P1
33.3%
44.6%
P2
46.2%
46.6%
P3
14.3%
42.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
34.8%
Donato
60.0%▲
50.5%
44.6%