Scouting Report
Craig Smith holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Smith wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bertuzzi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 41.2% vs Bertuzzi 42.4% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Smith 56.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.2%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Smith
Bertuzzi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Bertuzzi
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,023)
41.0% (210)
-0.2%
Power Play
39.4% (198)
33.3% (42)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
0.0% (2)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bertuzzi shoots left. Smith is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Smith shoots right. Bertuzzi is 36.4% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Smith
Bertuzzi
Home
42.3% (556)
51.2% (123)
Away
39.1% (675)
28.2% (131)
By Period
Smith
Bertuzzi
P1
39.0%
42.0%
P2
42.1%
37.9%
P3
40.2%
37.1%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.8%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
40.5%
Bertuzzi
34.0%▼
39.5%
39.4%