Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Malkin 45.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 79.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 53.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lazar
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Lazar
Malkin
Last 10: Lazar 5-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
5
Lazar
Malkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
3
Lazar
Malkin
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
2
Lazar
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
45.6% (10,073)
+4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
50.9% (643)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
32.2% (59)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,544).
Home / Away
Lazar
Malkin
Home
50.0% (1,541)
47.6% (5,385)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
44.0% (5,413)
By Period
Lazar
Malkin
P1
48.4%
45.9%
P2
48.8%
46.2%
P3
49.1%
45.2%
OT
56.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:07 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 04:43 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 13:24 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |