Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Evans 55.0% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Evans 51.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 51.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 50.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lazar
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
55.6% (522)
+7.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
72.7% (11)
-72.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
55.2% (210)
+1.1%
On power play, Evans has a +72.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. Evans is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Lazar
Evans
Home
63.0% (135)
54.7% (402)
Away
59.3% (118)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Lazar
Evans
P1
64.6%
57.9%
P2
60.0%
55.2%
P3
59.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
67.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%