Curtis Lazar vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Pageau 54.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 85.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 85.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 84.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Lazar
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
22
(32 meetings)
10
22
Lazar
Pageau
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
8
Lazar
Pageau
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
3
Lazar
Pageau
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
11
Lazar
Pageau
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
55.8% (9,525)
-5.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
57.0% (1,008)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
49.6% (2,077)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Pageau is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,739).
Home / Away
Lazar
Pageau
Home
50.1% (1,549)
56.3% (6,267)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Lazar
Pageau
P1
48.9%
54.7%
P2
48.9%
56.3%
P3
49.5%
53.5%
OT
56.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 08:24 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:08 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 2 | 02:36 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |