Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Danforth shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Danforth 49.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 55.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 56.5%
Neutral zone
Danforth 50.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Lazar
Danforth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Danforth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
0
1
Lazar
Danforth
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Danforth
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Danforth
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
50.5% (546)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (14)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
43.6% (101)
+3.6%
On power play, Lazar has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danforth shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Lazar
Danforth
Home
49.7% (163)
51.1% (315)
Away
52.3% (237)
48.0% (346)
By Period
Lazar
Danforth
P1
46.9%
49.5%
P2
53.3%
51.4%
P3
53.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.3%
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |