Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Hayes 43.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 53.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 91.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 79.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Lazar
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
42.7% (478)
+8.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.9% (98)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
45.2% (31)
-7.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hayes
Home
43.5% (131)
43.5% (232)
Away
53.7% (147)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Lazar
Hayes
P1
53.8%
40.1%
P2
50.5%
44.8%
P3
41.2%
42.4%
OT
100.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.9%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |