Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Eller 49.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 63.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 58.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Lazar
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lazar
Eller
Last 7: Lazar 2-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Lazar
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Lazar
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
51.1% (786)
+0.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
45.0% (80)
-45.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
43.6% (165)
-5.8%
On power play, Eller has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Lazar
Eller
Home
43.5% (131)
51.2% (510)
Away
53.7% (147)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Lazar
Eller
P1
53.8%
50.7%
P2
50.5%
49.0%
P3
41.2%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.9%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |