Curtis Lazar vs Mathew Barzal

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Curtis Lazar holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Lazar 58.1% vs Barzal 41.9% (+21.0%)
Offensive zone Barzal 68.9%
Defensive zone Lazar 83.5%
Neutral zone Lazar 51.9%
Result Curtis Lazar favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Lazar Barzal
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Lazar
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
40.9% (469)
+22.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
34.2% (38)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
28.6% (7)
+27.7%
On power play, Barzal has a +34.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. Barzal is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Lazar
Barzal
Home
63.0% (135)
39.2% (250)
Away
59.3% (118)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Lazar
Barzal
P1
64.6%
46.3%
P2
60.0%
36.7%
P3
59.3%
38.5%
Final 5 min
67.2%
41.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%
63.0%
61.3%
Barzal
44.0%
45.0%
40.3%