Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.8%). Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Domi 48.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 79.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 62.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Lazar
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lazar
Domi
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Lazar
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
1
Lazar
Domi
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
48.1% (4,339)
+2.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
53.5% (636)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
48.8% (41)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Domi is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,646).
Home / Away
Lazar
Domi
Home
50.1% (1,549)
49.8% (2,614)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
47.8% (2,402)
By Period
Lazar
Domi
P1
48.9%
48.7%
P2
48.9%
48.3%
P3
49.5%
49.7%
OT
56.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Domi
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Max Domi |