Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.7%). Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Domi 48.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Domi 64.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 77.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 60.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Lazar
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lazar
Domi
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
0
2
Lazar
Domi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
5
1
Lazar
Domi
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
48.2% (4,232)
+1.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
52.7% (622)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
48.8% (41)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Domi has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Domi is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,608).
Home / Away
Lazar
Domi
Home
50.0% (1,541)
49.7% (2,572)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
47.7% (2,323)
By Period
Lazar
Domi
P1
48.4%
48.8%
P2
48.8%
48.0%
P3
49.1%
49.8%
OT
56.5%
42.6%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Domi
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 30, 2020 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Max Domi |