Curtis Lazar vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs McCarron 52.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 55.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 60.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Lazar
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lazar
McCarron
Last 10: Lazar 3-7 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
4
Lazar
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Lazar
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
53.3% (2,926)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
45.3% (86)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
50.1% (469)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. McCarron is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Lazar
McCarron
Home
50.1% (1,549)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Lazar
McCarron
P1
48.9%
53.8%
P2
48.9%
52.3%
P3
49.5%
51.9%
OT
56.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 02:46 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |