Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Backlund 49.8% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 76.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 67.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 69.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Lazar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
50.5% (944)
+13.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
51.5% (66)
-51.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
47.1% (297)
+9.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Lazar
Backlund
Home
63.0% (135)
48.1% (636)
Away
59.3% (118)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Lazar
Backlund
P1
64.6%
45.4%
P2
60.0%
54.1%
P3
59.3%
49.2%
Final 5 min
67.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 01:54 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |