Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 55.9% vs Granlund 48.5% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 52.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 93.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 75.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Lazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lazar
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Lazar
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
50.0% (356)
+10.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
51.9% (79)
-51.9%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
29.4% (51)
+26.7%
On power play, Granlund has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Lazar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Lazar shoots right. Granlund is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Lazar
Granlund
Home
63.0% (127)
57.0% (179)
Away
51.9% (79)
43.0% (307)
By Period
Lazar
Granlund
P1
60.6%
53.9%
P2
59.7%
48.2%
P3
55.6%
42.4%
Final 5 min
67.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
58.7%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |