Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Granlund 49.5% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 50.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 92.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 74.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Lazar
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lazar
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Lazar
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
49.7% (493)
+13.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.6% (111)
-58.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
31.1% (61)
+25.2%
On power play, Granlund has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Granlund is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Lazar
Granlund
Home
63.0% (135)
54.7% (276)
Away
59.3% (118)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Lazar
Granlund
P1
64.6%
52.2%
P2
60.0%
49.3%
P3
59.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
67.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 18:07 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |