Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +15.1% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Barron 46.8% (+15.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 93.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 92.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Lazar
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lazar
Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
48.6% (381)
+14.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
33.3% (3)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
41.7% (187)
+14.6%
On power play, Barron has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Barron is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Lazar
Barron
Home
63.0% (135)
44.4% (306)
Away
59.3% (118)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Lazar
Barron
P1
64.6%
45.5%
P2
60.0%
49.8%
P3
59.3%
43.1%
Final 5 min
67.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |