Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+10.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 79.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Lazar
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
49.7% (1,038)
+13.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
63.7% (157)
-63.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
34.4% (32)
+21.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +63.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Lazar
MacKinnon
Home
63.0% (135)
53.1% (618)
Away
59.3% (118)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Lazar
MacKinnon
P1
64.6%
49.3%
P2
60.0%
53.0%
P3
59.3%
50.7%
Final 5 min
67.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%