Scouting Report
Nathan Walker holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Walker 51.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Walker 58.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 60.4%
Neutral zone
Walker 51.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Lazar
Walker
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Lazar
Walker
Last 7: Lazar 4-3 Walker
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Walker
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Walker
1
3
Lazar
Walker
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Walker
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
52.7% (452)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
45.5% (11)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
44.4% (36)
-2.5%
On power play, Lazar has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Walker shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Walker is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Lazar
Walker
Home
50.1% (1,549)
52.7% (296)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
50.7% (203)
By Period
Lazar
Walker
P1
48.9%
58.4%
P2
48.9%
47.4%
P3
49.5%
50.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Walker
52.0%▼
56.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Nathan Walker |