Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Hischier 55.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 66.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.5%
Neutral zone
Lazar 61.7%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Lazar
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lazar
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
55.5% (1,172)
+8.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
64.5% (265)
-64.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
43.9% (164)
+12.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +64.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Hischier is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hischier
Home
63.0% (135)
56.8% (791)
Away
59.3% (118)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Lazar
Hischier
P1
64.6%
56.0%
P2
60.0%
58.6%
P3
59.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
67.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |