Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.5%). Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Roy 48.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 55.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.7%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Lazar
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Lazar
Roy
Last 10: Lazar 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Lazar
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
5
Lazar
Roy
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
48.9% (3,621)
+0.9%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
49.3% (276)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
44.9% (463)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lazar is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (854).
Lazar shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,152).
Home / Away
Lazar
Roy
Home
50.0% (1,541)
49.5% (2,186)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
47.4% (2,174)
By Period
Lazar
Roy
P1
48.4%
51.0%
P2
48.8%
46.1%
P3
49.1%
48.3%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |