Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Acciari 51.5% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 70.3%
Defensive zone
Acciari 69.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Lazar
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
53.1% (3,185)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
50.7% (71)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
46.8% (999)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lazar is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (854).
Lazar shoots right. Acciari is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,142).
Home / Away
Lazar
Acciari
Home
50.0% (1,541)
52.4% (2,033)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
50.8% (2,222)
By Period
Lazar
Acciari
P1
48.4%
52.1%
P2
48.8%
51.7%
P3
49.1%
51.0%
OT
56.5%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Acciari
54.0%▲
51.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |