Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Acciari 51.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 72.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 67.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Lazar
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lazar
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
52.8% (3,296)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
48.3% (87)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
47.0% (1,073)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,194).
Home / Away
Lazar
Acciari
Home
50.1% (1,549)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
50.7% (2,317)
By Period
Lazar
Acciari
P1
48.9%
52.3%
P2
48.9%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
50.3%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Acciari
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:39 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |