Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 71.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 61.2%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Lazar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
55.7% (856)
+7.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.5% (233)
-57.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
50.0% (144)
+6.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Lazar
O'Reilly
Home
63.0% (135)
55.5% (616)
Away
59.3% (118)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Lazar
O'Reilly
P1
64.6%
58.1%
P2
60.0%
54.9%
P3
59.3%
53.9%
Final 5 min
67.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |