Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Couturier 53.6% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 55.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 68.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 64.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Lazar
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
53.9% (792)
+9.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
62.9% (70)
-62.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
51.3% (234)
+5.0%
On power play, Couturier has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Lazar
Couturier
Home
63.0% (135)
51.4% (541)
Away
59.3% (118)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Lazar
Couturier
P1
64.6%
56.0%
P2
60.0%
52.6%
P3
59.3%
54.3%
Final 5 min
67.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |