Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 53.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.6%
Neutral zone
Lazar 54.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Lazar
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lazar
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Lazar
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Lazar
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
55.3% (897)
-2.4%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
61.1% (113)
+38.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
50.8% (132)
-17.5%
On power play, Lazar has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Lazar
Karlsson
Home
57.1% (119)
58.6% (560)
Away
47.1% (153)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Lazar
Karlsson
P1
53.1%
55.8%
P2
52.2%
55.6%
P3
48.8%
55.7%
Final 5 min
42.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | William Karlsson |