Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+15.8%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.8%
Defensive zone
Lazar 69.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Lazar
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
47.2% (687)
+16.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
45.0% (20)
-45.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
33.0% (88)
+23.3%
On power play, Gourde has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Gourde is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Lazar
Gourde
Home
63.0% (135)
44.4% (356)
Away
59.3% (118)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Lazar
Gourde
P1
64.6%
42.2%
P2
60.0%
50.0%
P3
59.3%
44.5%
Final 5 min
67.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%