Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.7% vs Drury 57.0% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 77.1%
Defensive zone
Drury 86.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 50.8%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Gauthier
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Gauthier
Drury
Last 8: Gauthier 4-4 Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
0
Gauthier
Drury
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
4
Gauthier
Drury
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (162)
57.9% (2,010)
-14.7%
Power Play
52.6% (97)
58.5% (118)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
53.0% (300)
-3.0%
On even strength, Drury has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Gauthier is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (170).
Gauthier shoots left. Drury is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,586).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Drury
Home
53.3% (120)
57.9% (1,234)
Away
41.3% (143)
56.7% (1,194)
By Period
Gauthier
Drury
P1
43.8%
55.9%
P2
48.8%
58.7%
P3
47.4%
57.1%
OT
57.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
48.0%▼
50.0%
46.8%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Jack Drury |