Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 49.7% vs Backes 50.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zubrus 60.6%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 61.5%
Neutral zone
Zubrus 61.0%
Result
Dainius Zubrus favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Zubrus
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Zubrus
Backes
Last 10: Zubrus 3-7 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Zubrus
Backes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Zubrus
Backes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
2
4
Zubrus
Backes
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,069)
51.1% (5,772)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.1% (179)
50.8% (1,082)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (192)
47.4% (930)
+2.1%
On power play, Zubrus has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Zubrus is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (497).
Zubrus shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Backes
Home
52.2% (761)
50.6% (3,936)
Away
47.0% (694)
50.7% (3,895)
By Period
Zubrus
Backes
P1
51.3%
50.1%
P2
52.2%
51.5%
P3
45.9%
50.8%
OT
47.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 08:39 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 04:20 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |