Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zubrus 49.7% vs Monahan 51.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 61.0%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 64.0%
Neutral zone
Zubrus 50.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Zubrus
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zubrus
Monahan
Last 5: Zubrus 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zubrus
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Zubrus
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zubrus
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,069)
51.1% (11,407)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.1% (179)
53.6% (2,582)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (192)
45.9% (772)
+3.6%
On power play, Zubrus has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Zubrus is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Zubrus shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Zubrus
Monahan
Home
52.2% (761)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
47.0% (694)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Zubrus
Monahan
P1
51.3%
51.0%
P2
52.2%
51.7%
P3
45.9%
51.0%
OT
47.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2014 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |