Dalibor Dvorsky vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorsky on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorsky wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.2% vs Pageau 58.9% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 62.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 75.7%
24.3%
75.7%
Dvorsky
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dvorsky
Pageau
Last 6: Dvorsky 4-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
1
0
Dvorsky
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
2
1
Dvorsky
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (543)
59.3% (715)
-12.0%
Power Play
42.9% (77)
68.3% (41)
-25.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
59.7% (221)
-9.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Dvorsky is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Dvorsky shoots left. Pageau is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (718).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Pageau
Home
47.3% (298)
58.1% (418)
Away
46.3% (324)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Dvorsky
Pageau
P1
48.4%
55.3%
P2
45.4%
61.5%
P3
46.4%
61.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
38.0%▼
44.5%
46.8%
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:52 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |