Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.2% vs Foligno 49.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 79.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 64.9%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Dvorsky
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dvorsky
Foligno
Last 5: Dvorsky 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Dvorsky
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Dvorsky
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (543)
49.5% (291)
-2.2%
Power Play
42.9% (77)
55.8% (43)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Dvorsky shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Foligno
Home
47.3% (298)
48.9% (178)
Away
46.3% (324)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Dvorsky
Foligno
P1
48.4%
43.0%
P2
45.4%
55.9%
P3
46.4%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
38.0%▼
44.5%
46.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |