Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.5% vs Foligno 49.9% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 77.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.1%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 63.3%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Dvorsky
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dvorsky
Foligno
Last 5: Dvorsky 1-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
2
Dvorsky
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Dvorsky
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (550)
49.5% (291)
-1.9%
Power Play
42.9% (77)
55.8% (43)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.2% (53)
+2.8%
On power play, Foligno has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Dvorsky shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Foligno
Home
47.3% (298)
48.9% (178)
Away
46.8% (331)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Dvorsky
Foligno
P1
48.4%
43.0%
P2
45.7%
55.9%
P3
47.0%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:41 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |