Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.5% vs McLeod 49.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 70.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 60.5%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 60.3%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Dvorsky
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dvorsky
McLeod
Last 5: Dvorsky 1-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Dvorsky
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Dvorsky
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (556)
50.4% (3,376)
-2.7%
Power Play
42.9% (77)
50.7% (296)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.1% (644)
+5.9%
On power play, McLeod has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dvorsky is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Dvorsky shoots left. McLeod is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,809).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
McLeod
Home
47.2% (303)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
47.0% (332)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Dvorsky
McLeod
P1
48.0%
50.8%
P2
45.7%
48.0%
P3
47.6%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
37.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.1%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |