Scouting Report
Dalibor Dvorsky holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorsky on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorsky 47.5% vs Gourde 46.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 80.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 63.9%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 59.4%
Result
Dalibor Dvorsky favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Dvorsky
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dvorsky
Gourde
Last 7: Dvorsky 5-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
4
0
Dvorsky
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Dvorsky
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorsky
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorsky
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (550)
47.2% (687)
+0.4%
Power Play
42.9% (77)
45.0% (20)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.0% (88)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Dvorsky has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Dvorsky is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Dvorsky shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Dvorsky
Gourde
Home
47.3% (298)
44.4% (356)
Away
46.8% (331)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Dvorsky
Gourde
P1
48.4%
42.2%
P2
45.7%
50.0%
P3
47.0%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorsky
48.0%▲
44.5%
47.1%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:52 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 11:01 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 16:35 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |