Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Winnik wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Letestu 52.1% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Winnik 81.1%
Defensive zone
Winnik 84.7%
Neutral zone
Winnik 84.7%
Result
Daniel Winnik favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Winnik
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Winnik
Letestu
Last 9: Winnik 2-7 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
2
1
Winnik
Letestu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
2
Winnik
Letestu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
0
4
Winnik
Letestu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
53.3% (4,565)
-7.4%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
56.0% (687)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
44.2% (1,005)
-7.1%
On even strength, Letestu has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. Winnik is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Winnik shoots left. Letestu is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,419).
Home / Away
Winnik
Letestu
Home
48.5% (406)
54.0% (3,024)
Away
39.2% (446)
50.4% (3,249)
By Period
Winnik
Letestu
P1
48.8%
51.5%
P2
40.6%
55.0%
P3
42.8%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
51.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 10:28 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:18 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:24 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Apr 17, 2013 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |