Daniel Winnik vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Winnik wins 40.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.3%
Defensive zone
Winnik 57.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Winnik
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
46.1% (11,264)
-0.2%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
53.2% (1,421)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
42.8% (502)
-5.7%
On power play, Winnik has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Winnik is 40.1% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Winnik shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Winnik
MacKinnon
Home
48.5% (406)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
39.2% (446)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Winnik
MacKinnon
P1
48.8%
47.4%
P2
40.6%
46.6%
P3
42.8%
46.1%
OT
33.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%