Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Winnik on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Winnik wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winnik 44.3% vs Monahan 51.2% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 94.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 77.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 91.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 84.7%
15.3%
84.7%
Winnik
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Winnik
Monahan
Last 9: Winnik 7-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
3
1
Winnik
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winnik
4
1
Winnik
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winnik
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (588)
51.1% (11,407)
-5.2%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
53.6% (2,582)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (248)
45.9% (772)
-8.8%
On power play, Winnik has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Winnik is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (538).
Winnik shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Winnik
Monahan
Home
48.5% (406)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
39.2% (446)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Winnik
Monahan
P1
48.8%
51.0%
P2
40.6%
51.7%
P3
42.8%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winnik
38.0%▼
44.5%
43.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:14 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:58 | Offensive | Daniel Winnik |
| Oct 16, 2013 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Daniel Winnik |