Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +18.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Yurov wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 41.1% vs Toews 57.8% (-18.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Yurov 82.6%
Defensive zone
Yurov 85.0%
Neutral zone
Yurov 85.9%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Yurov
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Yurov
Toews
Last 10: Yurov 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
6
Yurov
Toews
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Yurov
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Yurov
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (491)
57.1% (12,906)
-17.4%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
63.2% (3,220)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
53.6% (1,808)
-25.0%
On power play, Toews has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Yurov is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Yurov shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,532).
Home / Away
Yurov
Toews
Home
42.2% (251)
59.6% (9,086)
Away
36.6% (262)
56.1% (8,879)
By Period
Yurov
Toews
P1
35.8%
58.7%
P2
37.3%
57.7%
P3
45.2%
57.2%
Final 5 min
39.6%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
36.0%▬
37.0%
39.4%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 10:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |