Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Yurov wins 39.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 77.8%
Defensive zone
Yurov 75.4%
Neutral zone
Yurov 83.3%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Yurov
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Yurov
Staal
Last 6: Yurov 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Yurov
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Yurov
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (628)
55.9% (14,654)
-16.1%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
62.7% (1,762)
-34.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
47.9% (2,907)
-22.9%
On power play, Staal has a +34.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Yurov is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Yurov shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Yurov
Staal
Home
43.1% (332)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
35.4% (322)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Yurov
Staal
P1
37.3%
55.2%
P2
38.9%
55.9%
P3
41.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
40.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.3%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |