Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (39.3% vs 40.2%). Look for Marner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Yurov wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Yurov 40.7% vs Marner 42.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 54.0%
Defensive zone
Yurov 57.8%
Neutral zone
Yurov 56.1%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Yurov
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Yurov
Marner
Last 9: Yurov 2-7 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
0
5
Yurov
Marner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Yurov
Marner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Yurov
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (628)
40.8% (316)
-1.0%
Power Play
27.8% (18)
40.0% (5)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
25.0% (12)
+0.0%
On power play, Marner has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Yurov is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Yurov shoots left. Marner is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Yurov
Marner
Home
43.1% (332)
36.0% (186)
Away
35.4% (322)
45.6% (147)
By Period
Yurov
Marner
P1
37.3%
40.7%
P2
38.9%
41.0%
P3
41.9%
38.6%
Final 5 min
40.3%
41.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Yurov
44.0%▲
38.5%
39.3%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |